Happy times in housing. If you're looking for a place for rent
I've got a new story on Time.com. It begins:
There's good news in the housing market—for renters. What you pay is on the way down. The average rent in the U.S. fell by 0.4% in the last three months of 2008, according to a survey of large apartment buildings in 79 metro markets by the real estate analytics firm Reis. Even though landlords often find it tougher to raise rents in winter months, the fourth quarter's decline from the three months prior is significant for being the first quarterly drop since the beginning of 2003.
At first pass, that might not make a whole lot of sense. If homeownership is on the decline, shouldn't apartment buildings be swamped with interest? As it turns out, those two things don't neatly seesaw. The demand for apartment rentals is largely linked to employment. When people—especially young adults who are prone to rent—don't have jobs, they're more likely to stay with family or become a roommate instead of renting a place of their own. Plus, in the wake of escalating foreclosures, buildings full of condos that can't be sold, and investor properties sitting unflipped, there are plenty of units from unconventional sources up for rent.
What that means to you: "If you're looking for an apartment or want to renegotiate your lease, you should keep in mind that you have bargaining power," says Hans Nordby, U.S. strategist at Property & Portfolio Research (PPR), a real estate intelligence outfit.
You can read the rest here.
If you—or maybe one of your kids—do decide to negotiate with a landlord, I highly recommend first reading Fisher and Ury's Getting to Yes. The notion of focusing on interests and not positions changed my life. I swear, I think about it almost every day. Thank you, Professor Ichniowski.
Barbara!
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1
Barbara, do you have any numbers on how many homes that were (or would have been) on the market are now available as rental properties?
I personally think that rents will decline for a couple of years; landlords were able to raise rents with abandon during the housing bubble, and with that bursting, it should provide downward pressure on rents. And if the economy recovers, that means a recovery in the home sales market -- as you note, in many locales home prices have fallen so much that its considerably cheaper to buy. Once people feel secure about the economy (and confident that a home they buy isn't going to lose its value), I think you will see 'renters who can afford to buy' going for ownership, opening up a host of rental units in the process (and driving rental prices down further.)
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2
Good article... I have noticed some houses in my area go from being overpriced homes to overpriced rentals in the last few months (perhaps reality is starting to set in with people).
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You've done other housing articles in the past, may I ask where you compile these numbers from, and which if any of these sources are publicly available. I track of home sales via my auditor's office, but have no reliable way to track rental information except via hotpads.com or other search sites. I would love to do a deep dive into the numbers in my area to get a better feel for the local rental market.
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-MBirchmeier -
3
@plukasiak: I don't have an exact number of homes-turned-rentals. I asked some people, but no one I talked to could tell me. If you find a figure, would you let me know?
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@mbirchmeier: Unfortunately, the three companies I got data from (Reis, Torto Wheaton, PPR) are all in the business of selling their numbers to real estate investors, so they don't post numbers on their web sites. You might try to find a local apartment brokerage firm or regional real estate company. CitiHabitats, for example, puts out a lot of data on the Manhattan rental market. On its web site, I can see that in December one-bedroom apartments on the Upper West Side rented for an average $2,587, while the same-sized place in Harlem went for $1,613.
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