Keeping the financial squirrel cage running at high speed
Investment-banker-turned-financial-chronicler Charles Morris writes (via Dealbreaker), apropos of Lehman Brothers' troubles:
De-leveraging is a necessary prerequisite to a real recovery. The brunt of federal policy to date, however, has seemed directed at keeping the squirrel cage running at high speed -– trying to help consumers carry on borrowing and spending, taking questionable assets onto the Federal Reserve Bank's balance sheet, instead of accelerating the burnout of accumulated excesses.
I struggled with the image of a "squirrel cage running at high speed," and initially figured Morris meant something like a hamster wheel. But thanks to the magic of the Google (see, Nick, it's making me smarter!), I now know that he's probably talking about the squirrel-cage rotor, which according to the Wikipedia is "the rotating part often used in an AC induction motor." So maybe I should be referring to him as mechanic-turned-investment-banker-turned-financial-chronicler Charles Morris.
Anyway, his point is one that I had been meaning to make in my David Einhorn column, but sort of let get away from me. The Fed and other regulators' actions so far have been almost entirely about keeping this crisis from getting worse, not getting at the root causes or really clearing the way for recovery. I've been generally sympathetic with that, being as how I'd kind of prefer not to experience the second Great Depression. But at some point policy has to shift toward encouraging thrift and discouraging inflation and financial nuttiness. Everybody in Washington seems to think that shift should happen sometime in 2009. I'm starting to think there's a serious case for doing it sooner.
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1
Everybody in Washington thinks it will happen in 2009 b/c that is after the election. There is absolutely no chance that Bush would do anything to slow the economy (virtually handing Obama the Presidency) his last 6 months in office. This way, if elected, Obama and the Dem Congress will have to clean up the mess, and the GOP can blame them in the next election.
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2
I think (worry?) that someone must have had a squirrel in a cage at some point, pushing back the origin of the phrase.
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3
are squirrels more efficient than hamsters? Perhaps squirrels are the environmentally friendlier wheel runner? I need to go check all my hamster wheels powering my interweb connection.
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