Commentary on the economy, the markets, and business

The McRib is back, bringing conflict prevention in its wake

mcrib.jpg

When I saw this sign at a McDonald's here in Madison I had to take a picture. Why? Because of its potential international-relations consequences. Back in 1996, Tom Friedman proposed his famous Golden Arches Theory of Conflict Prevention in the New York Times:

[W]hen a country reaches a certain level of economic development, when it has a middle class big enough to support a McDonald's, it becomes a McDonald's country, and people in McDonald's countries don't like to fight wars; they like to wait in line for burgers.

And sure enough, in 1996 it was true that, as Friedman claimed, "No two countries that both have a McDonald's have ever fought a war against each other."

Then, in 1999, the U.S. bombed Belgrade, a city where you could get a Big Mac. The Golden Arches Theory appeared to be in big trouble. Friedman offered this defense:

Once NATO turned out the lights in Belgrade, and shut down the power grids and the economy, Belgrade's citizens demanded an end to the war. It's that simple. Not only did NATO soldiers not want to die for Kosovo -- neither did the Serbs of Belgrade. They wanted to be part of the world, more than they wanted Kosovo to be part of them. They wanted McDonald's re-opened, much more than they wanted Kosovo re-occupied. So, yes, there is now one exception to the Golden Arches Theory -- an exception that, in the end, only proves how powerful is the rule.

But I much preferred the alternative proposed by James Poniewozik in Salon (yes, before he became Time's pop culture guru he was an important foreign affairs pundit):

Perhaps the theory simply needs refinement. I suspect, for instance, that no two countries with access to the limited-markets-only McRib sandwich have ever fought a war. Or maybe the answer lies in a different area of pop culture. For instance, no two countries that have served as the setting of a Whit Stillman film have ever gone to war with one another. Well, not since 1898 -- OK, the 1930s, if you count the Abraham Lincoln Brigade -- but the general principle stands that a nation that can support an urban comedy of manners exploring the social mores of prep school graduates is a peaceful nation, and we should be signing up Chris Eigemann and Chloe Sevigny for "The Last Days of Kim Il Sung" pronto.

Whit Stillman hasn't made a movie since 1998, although according to his website he has an unfinished project called Red Azalea that's set in China. (Think of all the money the Pentagon is spending on coming up ways to counter the hypothetical future military threat from China, and think how much less it would cost just to help Stillman finish his danged movie. It's a no brainer!) And now the McRib is back, although apparently only on a farewell tour. Make that comeback permanent, and get Whit Stillman directing again, and we could have peace in our time. Or am I putting too much stock in silly pop-culture explanations of how the world works?

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  • 1

    It is impossible to put too much stock in silly pop-culture explanations of how the world works. Without silly pop-culture explanations of how the world works, Tom Friedman would have nothing to do but count his billions. We must save him from that fate!

  • 2

    you aren't putting too much stock into silly pop-culture references...

    you are, however, using far too many words for such a small snark payoff.

  • 3

    Sir. I had a chance to se the DVD, “SuperSize Me" where there is truth about the McDonald fried foods that are junk foods. There is more to this. The book,"Shopped” The Super Power of The British Super market is worth reading. It talks openly about how the super markets hide the rotten fish etc ear the fresh baked bread to hide the pong and that they re-label the expiry date by another label of discounts, thereby fooling the purchasers.
    The book is so open that it clears the DVD I saw and I agree that the fast food chains are the chose of the obesity. The habits come later but the fast foods chains have had the taste of money and will not let that go out of their hands. It is just like the warlords of the drug cartels.
    Shopped: The Shocking Power of British Supermarkets: Books: Joanna Blythman by Joanna Blythman.
    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Shopped-Shocking-Power-British-Supermarkets/dp/0007158033 - 115k - Cached - Similar pages
    Shopped.co.uk - UK shopping portal. ... Welcome to Shopped.co.uk - the UK shopping portal. Please submit your own favourite shopping links and rate other ...
    Overview
    Director:
    Morgan Spurlock
    Writer:
    Morgan Spurlock (written by)
    Release Date:
    21 May 2004 (Canada) more
    Genre:
    Documentary / Comedy / Drama more
    Tagline:
    A film of epic portions. more
    Plot Outline:
    An irreverent look at obesity in America and one of its sources - fast food corporations. more
    Plot Synopsis:
    This plot synopsis is empty. Add a synopsis
    Plot Keywords:
    Expose / Fast Food / Nutrition / Obesity / Restaurant more
    Awards:
    Nominated for Oscar. Another 5 wins & 4 nominations more
    User Comments:
    An entertaining and interesting movie – but those who sneer at McDonalds or fat Americans are missing the point more

    I thank you
    Firozali A.Mulla MBA PhD
    P.O.Box 6044
    Dar-Es-Salaam
    Tanzania

  • 4

    McDonalds provides inexpensive, wholesome, and nutritious food for millions and millions of people. Anyone who disagrees is a barbarian.

  • 5

    Global markets as predictors of social evolution...of course, there is something fundamentally correct about that. Something rational.

    This is not specifically about hamburgers, although there is a certain universal appeal regarding red meat and human behavior to work with.

    The McDonald's hamburger is a "premium commodity" food item. By commodity foods we usually refer to low priced, high volume ubitiquous goods such as kilos of rice, beans, corn meal and fish. Chicken and pork are one step up as daily fare. Beef is rare in the developing world. Going to eat at McDonald's is very special!

    At some point a poor nation's economy transitions from the condition that its powerful players recognize their income-producing opportunities as limited to the (zero sum) armed bullying and enslavement of their own societies (as warlords) to the much greater wealth creation mechanisms of financial capitalism (as industrialists).

    The rich families suddenly find that they are able to earn (substantially) more than ever by converting cheap labor into export dollars...processing raw materials into finished goods competing in the global marketplace.

    The political leaders of such a rapidly growing economy have too much to lose through military adventures involving the neighbors. Border conflicts interfere with the flow of trade and civil wars disrupt "business as usual".

    Politicians must make a living. Their "fair shares" of all this new money (either through taxes or bribes) trump their previous sources of revenue. They now devote their best government talent to Central Banking, Customs and the Foreign Service. They stop over-regulating private entities and abusing their own civilians (also bad for business).

    The McDonald's Company watches these developments...waiting to make their move. They are not playing global power-politics and they are not writing dramatic media stories for the magazines about how very bad things are for the citizens of emerging nations.

    The moment an economy is ready...they open their first stores. (Kentucky Fried Chicken might actually beat them there.)

    McDonald's restaurants might serve as a binary, direct indicator that a nation has actually joined the global economy.

    The McDonald's Web site shows that it has a presence today in 60 countries outside the US. That sounds about right.

  • 6

    Hmm I've heard the McDo theory before but it just hit me that, although we have McDonalds here in Lebanon (big fan myself!!) we actually got into war with Israel last year...

    I like the theory, so I could say that it's the fact that Hezbollah does not have McDonald's in its regions which could have caused the war, seeing that it wasn't a war between two states!!

    Nice post...

  • 7

    The mcrib is the most delicious sandwich ever made. Here I am in november 2007 and theres none in my area. I'm getting so furious.

    Here's a blog about it

    http://misanthropytoday.wordpress.com/2007/10/22/an-old-friend-will-be-coming-for-the-holidays/

  • 8

    I just ate a Mcrib in New Orleans on St Charles Ave. THANK GOD FOR THE MCRIB.

  • 9

    India and Pakistan fought a war in 1999 and both of them have McDonalds.

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