Commentary on the economy, the markets, and business

Worldwide nonexclusive: The Fed cuts rates!

In the most breathlessly anticipated move of Ben Bernanke's young career as Fed chairman, the Federal Open Market Committee just announced that it's cutting the Federal funds target rate by half a percentage point, to 4.75%.

What does that mean? It means that the traders at the Fed's open market desk in New York will start buying up lots of Treasury securities from brokers. This creates money out of thin air, and causes the interest rate that the banks charge each other on overnight loans to drop. You can read all about it here. The Fed also cut the rate that it charges banks that borrow directly from it, the discount rate, from 5.75% to 5.25%.

But what does it really mean? Are we going to have a recession? Are financial markets going to stop wigging out? Are there going to be more rate cuts? Nobody knows, not even Ben Bernanke. And if anyone tells you they do, don't believe them.

The stock market loved the news, with the Dow rising 200 points immediately after the cut was announced. This was mainly because most people expected a quarter-point cut, and were happily surprised. But given the way the Dow has been jumping around lately, this means positively nothing. It could easily be down 300 points tomorrow.

For some reason I had been kind of hoping Bernanke and Co. would stand fast, just to stick it to all those whiners on Wall Street and in Detroit. But they did at least hold out all the way to their regularly scheduled meeting, and with all the signs of a weakening economy it would be kinda perverse to hold rates steady just to thwart Jim Cramer.

Update: Andy Busch, the global FX strategist at BMO Capital Markets in Chicago (the BMO stands for Bank of Montreal), offers this pithy assessment:

Yield curve steepens, stocks rally, dollar tanks, and gold soars. The market is now looking at expectations for Fed Funds to 4.25% by February. Given the recent drop in import prices and PPI, a lower dollar is a big benefit with little risk on inflation. It pumps up GDP by around .5% per quarter and offsets half of the losses from the housing sector.

Bernanke continues the Greenspan put and assists those that made poor credit decisions without the consequences of market discipline. Like a teenager with a car and no curfew, we'll be having more problems down the road from these actions. But for now, who cares? Everyone's happy and it keeps the politicians at bay. Jim Cramer is a modern day financial seer.

  • Print
  • Comment
Comments (6)
Post a Comment »
  • 1

    We have just witnessed the Cramerization of our currency. Nothing left to do now but watch this economy implode, our currency devalued to reward those who had the integrity to act responsibly only to be robbed by the herd of greedy speculators.

  • 2

    well, it will be a good news for indonesia. from know BI rate stay on 8.25% when fed rate cut into 4.25% the indonesian currency should be more interesting to invest. although it is just a hot money, Jakarta Stock Exchange probably will increased in several days.

  • 3

    Maybe retirement in India is still rasonably possible. I am pretty sure they will find a way to cheat us out of that, too.

  • 4

    I think we all need to watch "The Money Masters" which examines the Federal Reserve Bank.

    You can see it on Google video, but it's easier to buy the DVD.

    Google it

  • 5

    The weak dollar will put the country up for sale. Cramerites will get rich as America is sold off to international corporations, foreign retirees, and private foreign investors.

    The CPI is a joke. Housing, medical, energy prices are at all time highs...at least we can get our t-shirts cheaper. Thank goodness for that.

  • 6

    I thought the role of the Federal Reserve was to regulate and maintain for the betterment of the whole US economy, not to come to the rescue of speculators, predatory lenders, and wall streeters abusing the system with their financial shenanigans.

    I wrote a few detailed entries of this on my site:

    http://www.xanga.com/soullfire

Add Your Comment:

You must be logged in to post a comment.
The Curious Capitalist Daily E-mail

Get e-mail updates from TIME's The Curious Capitalist in your inbox and never miss a day.

Quotes of the Day »

CATHERINE ZETA-JONES, on her husband Michael Douglas' Stage IV throat cancer; he reportedly spent months seeking attention for persistent throat and ear pain only to be told nothing was wrong