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Club Penguin is worth $450 million?!?

The seven-year-old Curious Capitalist Jr. is allowed dominion over the family iMac on Saturday mornings, and one of his favorite destinations is Club Penguin, where he sometimes arranges to chat with friends from school but mainly just plays the lame-seeming games to win more swag for his penguin avatar.

What's his and a whole lot of other kids' penguin time worth? About $450 million. That, according to the hard-working people at paidcontent.org (link via Kedrosky), is what Sony is planning to pay Club Penguin's Canadian creators for the site. Something about this whole thing creeps me out, but I'm not sure why. It's certainly better than Saturday morning TV.

Update: The boy is appalled at the news. Club Penguin "is perfect the way it is," he says.

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    Justin
    Having a grandson just like your 7-year-old Curious Capitalist Jr, I too am puzzeled by the implicit cash generating capabilities of Club Penguin. As a rule of thumb, a price of $450 million can be supported by a net cashflow of $40 million per year. This means each of the roughly 23 million US kids ages 7 to 11 would have to do something that generates $2 per year for Club Penguin. If only 10 percent of those kids are engaged, it is only $20 per year. Now if it is only one percent of the kids, the required $200 per year becomes more formidable. Less than that will not provide proper amortization capabilities or profits (or something strange is going on. Of course I seem to have been wrong about this for quite a few years now, but I suspect that that may be changing.)
    We are awash in cash in this country and banks and financial advisors are taking many risks that may not be prudent, but do inflate salaries.
    But I don't think it is creepy. Dangerous maybe, but not creepy.

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